A technical revolution is taking place when China steps into the second decade of the development of Internet. Many new technologies are leading Internet to two tendencies: convergence and decentralization. Technologies such as grid technology, IPv6, semantic web, RSS and so called social software bring about the convergences which can be seen in many levels, for example, convergence of machines, convergence of machine and human, convergence of peoples and convergence of media. These convergences might result in the revolution of Internet and media industry, as well as some kind of social change. On the other hand, technologies like P2P are turning Internet to a more decentralized structure. Also, new technologies as Weblog and Wiki give individuals more possibilities to be information producers. That will be a great challenge to the professional media organizations and cause the decentralization of media. These two tendencies seem to be contradictory. However, if used in proper ways, the new technologies will altogether help to create a more efficiency and equality Internet. Though the development of technologies itself can not determine the future of Internet, it will probably provoke the interaction of political, economical and social powers, which will change the future of our society.

关键词:互联网、下一代互联网、网格技术、IPv6技术、语义网技术、RSS技术、社会软件、P2P、博客、维客、汇聚、分权

Internet, next generation Internet, grid technology, IPv6, semantic web, RSS, social software, P2P, Weblog, Wiki, convergence , decentralization

2004年，是中国互联网第二个十年的开始。年末，一条消息引起了业界的关注：12月25日，中国第一个下一代互联网暨中国下一代互联网示范工程核心网(CERNET2)正式开通，这是世界上规模最大的纯IPv6互联网，标志着我国下一代互联网建设全面拉开序幕。

这个事件，更像是一个信号，它告知人们，在中国互联网走过十年历程之后，在网络的许多技术领域，变革都在发生。中国互联网业所发生的一些变革，也折射着整个互联网未来的走向。